(Bloomberg) — Oil edged higher in New York after the biggest daily gain since May on growing optimism for more U.S. fiscal stimulus and as President Donald Trump left hospital following treatment for Covid-19.

Futures added 0.5% after rising above $39 a barrel on Monday. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin engaged in another round of talks on a pandemic relief package, but there’s no sign yet they are close to a deal despite Trump’s urging to get it done. The president returned to the White House where he will continue to recuperate after his diagnosis last week roiled markets and pushed oil into the biggest weekly loss since June.



chart: Oil reverses Friday's losses after plunging to a three-week low


© Bloomberg
Oil reverses Friday’s losses after plunging to a three-week low

Oil is back below $40 a barrel as the market grapples with rising supply from OPEC+ and Libya, although a strike in Norway that has shut fields is offsetting increased flows somewhat. In a positive sign for demand, masses of people in China are vacationing during the Golden Week holiday, displaying the country’s confidence in its economic rebound and its public health measures.

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“Markets including oil have taken comfort from the fact that President Trump is now out of hospital, while U.S. dollar weakness would have also helped the complex,” said Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING Bank NV. “I would expect the market to be fairly well supported this week” due to supply risks and optimism for a U.S. stimulus deal, he added.

Prices
West Texas Intermediate for November delivery rose 20 cents to $39.42 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 7:44 a.m. London time after climbing 5.9% on MondayBrent for December settlement gained 0.5% to $41.49 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange after surging 5.1% in the previous session

President Trump returned to the White House Monday evening after three days of treatment for Covid-19 at a military hospital, and officials plan to significantly restrict physical access to him as he continues his recovery.

See also: The World’s Biggest Oil Trader Wants to Buy Your Used Car

Focus is also shifting back to the weather with Tropical Storm Delta reaching hurricane strength as it drifts toward the Gulf of Mexico, where it is poised to clip the Yucatan Peninsula before becoming the record 10th storm to hit the U.S. this season. It could reach tree-snapping Category 3 power on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale as it hits Mexico, said Ryan Truchelut, president of Weather Tiger LLC.

Other oil-market news:
U.S. oil pipeline operators are slashing fees to encourage customers in Texas to keep using their networks to ship barrels to the Gulf Coast as the pandemic wreaks havoc on profits.Forces led by Saudi Arabia destroyed a Houthi boat laden with explosives in the southern part of the Red Sea before it could carry out a terrorist attack, Saudi state TV reported.

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